UK interest rate futures pricing in the rest of 2025 the Bank of England will cut interest rates by about 60 basis points (Tuesday is expected to cut interest rates by 54.2 basis points).
On March 28, a few days later, on April 2, the Trump administration announced that it would impose "reciprocal" tariffs on China. A week earlier, the Chinese side should hold a video call with the US Trade Representative Grier. The US took the initiative to call the Chinese side. What are the considerations? It is understood that in this phone call, the Chinese side focused on three concerns: 1. Regarding the "reciprocal" tariffs on April 2, if the US insists on harming China's interests, the Ch...
Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda: Japan's economy is likely to continue to grow above potential, underlying inflation is expected to gradually accelerate, and interest rates are expected to continue to rise if the economy and prices move in line with our forecasts in our quarterly outlook report. (Jin Ten)
UK interest rate futures show that by the end of 2025, the Bank of England interest rate will be cut by 43 basis points, compared with 52 basis points before the Bank of England interest rate decision.
The Bank of England will announce its interest rate decision and meeting notes at 20:00 Beijing time on Thursday, and the market generally expects the bank to stand still. Under the dual attack of economic slowdown and rising inflation expectations, internal differences may intensify, and a cautious stance may prevail. Please pay attention to the relevant risks, and click for more foresight....
The dollar index DXY widened its day-to-day gain to 0.50 per cent at 103.76 ahead of the Fed's 2:00 a.m. interest rate decision.
Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda said interest rates would rise if the economy and prices met the Bank of Japan's forecast. (Kim Ten)
Next week's important macro events and data forecasts are as follows (all in Beijing time): In terms of macroeconomic data: Monday at 20:30, the monthly rate of retail sales in the United States in February and the New York Federal Reserve Manufacturing Index in March. On Tuesday, the Bank of Japan will announce its interest rate decision. At 14:30, Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda will hold a monetary policy press conference. Wednesday at 18:00, Eurozone CPI data for February. On Thursday at 1...
Peter Schiff, an economist and gold advocate, wrote on the X platform: "The cryptocurrency summit is a disgrace. The White House has been" captured "by cryptocurrency interests, which is exactly what the founding fathers warned would be a stain on Trump's legacy and mark a low point for the US presidency and America."
On March 2, according to the Financial Times, an ally of Russian President Vladimir Putin has been plotting to restart the Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline to Europe with the support of US investors, a once unthinkable move that shows just how far Trump wants to go with Moscow. The push to broker the deal was the brainchild of Matthias Warnig, a former East German state security official who headed Nord Stream 2's parent company until 2023, according to several people familiar with the discussions. Vo...
According to the CME "Fed Watch", the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in March is 94%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 6%. The probability of keeping current interest rates unchanged in May is 67.8%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point cut is 30.5%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point cut is 1.7%. (Jin Ten)
The former member believes that the Bank of Japan should seize the opportunity to raise interest rates and boost the yen in the meantime. Click to view...
The recent gold carry trade in the market has sparked discussions. Large quantities of physical gold are being shipped to the United States from London, the United Kingdom, Singapore, Asia and other places. Speculation that Trump may impose tariffs on imports such as gold has promoted the carry trade in gold and triggered the recent migration of physical gold. Now some analysts have also warned that the current arbitrage window is gradually narrowing, and once the window is closed, the trade of ...