关于「Polymarket」的内容列表
Although regulators around the world have banned Polymarket on the grounds that it is a gambling platform, lawyer Aaron Brogan has good reason to argue that it is not a gambling platform. Aaron Brogan, a New York-based cryptocurrency lawyer, argues that on the surface, prediction markets are just an online version of gambling, which is not true. "If you are a state-licensed gambling product...
虽然世界各地的监管机构都以赌博平台为由禁止Polymarket，但律师亚伦-布罗根（Aaron Brogan）有充分的理由证明它不是赌博平台。 纽约的加密货币律师亚伦-布罗根（Aaron Brogan）认为，从表面上看，预测市场只是网络版的赌博，这种说法并不成立。“如果你是国家许可的赌博产品...
Users of decentralized prediction market platform Polymarket are betting that Trump will pardon Sam Bankman-Fried within 100 days of taking office. In November 2023, Bankman-Fried was charged with seven criminal counts, including wire fraud, and later sentenced to nearly 25 years in prison for his role in the collapse of cryptocurrency exchange FTX. On Polymarket, he has a 4% chance of receiving a presidential pardon.
去中心化预测市场平台 Polymarket 的用户正在押注特朗普将在上任 100 天内赦免 Sam Bankman-Fried。2023 年 11 月，Bankman-Fried 被指控犯有七项刑事罪名，包括电信欺诈，后来因其在加密货币交易所 FTX倒闭中所扮演的角色而被判处近25 年监禁。在 Polymarket 上，他获得总统赦免的几率为 4%。
According to Polymarket data, the yes probability on the platform on "whether Trump will create a bitcoin reserve in the first week of his inauguration" fell to 3%, after reaching 23% on Trump's inauguration day.
据 Polymarket数据，平台上关于“特朗普是否会在就职首周创建比特币储备”的 Yes 概率下跌至 3 %，而在特朗普就职日此数值一度达到 23%。
According to Polymarket data, the yes probability on the platform on whether Trump will create a bitcoin reserve within 100 days of his inauguration has skyrocketed to 58%, compared to only 43% in the same period yesterday. In addition, the market expects a 42% probability that Trump will sign more than 40 executive orders on the first day of his inauguration; Kalshi implied that the market expects Trump to sign 40.4 executive orders on the first day of his inauguration. Among them, immigration,...
据 Polymarket 数据，平台上关于特朗普是否会在就职 100 天内创建比特币储备的 Yes 概率激增至 58%，昨日同期 Yes 概率仅为 43%。 此外，市场预期有 42% 的概率特朗普在第一天签署的行政令数量将大于 40 条；Kalshi 隐含市场预期特朗普在就职首日签署行政令数量为 40.4 条。其中，移民、关税、外交、能源预计将是特朗普就职当天政策的密集首发...
According to Onchain Lens, a Polymarket user spent more than 1.02 million USDCs to purchase 1,122,757 "NO" shares of "Has Trump Account Been Hacked?" At present, if it wins, the user will receive a profit of 1.12 million US dollars, and it is still buying more "NO" shares.
据Onchain Lens监测，某Polymarket用户花费超过102万枚USDC购买了1,122,757份“特朗普账号是否遭到黑客攻击？”的“NO”股份。 目前，如果其获胜，该用户将获得112万美元的利润，并且其仍在继续购买更多的“NO”股份。
12:00-21:00 Keywords: BlackRock, Polymarket, Musk, ENA 1. JPMorgan Chase: Limited demand for new counterfeit products ETFs; 2. BlackRock's fourth quarter revenue reached $5.68 billion higher than expected; 3. Thailand proposes banning Polymarket to combat online gambling. 4. Musk, Zuckerberg, and Bezos will attend Trump's inauguration. 5. Report: South Korea plans to introduce a new cryptocurrency law in the second half of 2025. 6. People familiar with the matter: Trader Eugene is a co-founder o...
12:00-21:00关键词：贝莱德、Polymarket、马斯克、ENA 1.摩根大通：新的山寨币 ETF 需求有限； 2.贝莱德第四季度营收达56.8亿美元高于预期； 3.泰国提议禁止 Polymarket 以打击网络赌博； 4.马斯克、扎克伯格和贝佐斯将出席特朗普就职典礼； 5.报告：韩国计划在2025年下半年出台新的加密货币法； 6.知情人士：交易员 Eugene 为 Tangent Ventures 联创，涉嫌违规宣传 ENA 代币。
According to Polymarket data, the probability that the United States will completely ban TikTok by May 2025 has risen to 78%, and the total bet is currently nearly $3.28 million
Polymarket 数据显示，美国将于 2025 年 5 月前全面禁止 TikTok 概率升至 78%，目前总下注资金近 328 万美元
Prediction market Polymarket posted on the X platform that its platform's current data shows that the probability of Musk acquiring TikTok is only 9%.
