Danske Bank said that the ECB's policy decision has basically been guided, that is, to cut interest rates by another 25 basis points, bringing the policy rate to 2.75%. This is the consensus expectation of analysts and the market. Given the recent uncertainty prevailing in the Trump administration and the continued resilience of the domestic economy, we do not expect new signals on the ECB's policy rate outlook. Therefore, we expect the three-tier response function (...
Kirstine Kundby-Nielsen, an analyst at Danske Bank, said that the Bank of England has sent a signal to gradually cut interest rates, and the excellent performance of the UK economy, weak growth in the euro zone, and the return of risk sentiment should continue to push the pound higher against the euro in the short term. This situation is further amplified by the continued tightening of credit spreads. Looking further, the pound may weaken due to weak global economic growth, and the Bank of Engla...
Strategists at Barclays and Danske Bank said the pace of interest rate cuts by the European Central Bank may be slower than market expectations. Strategists say the ECB may cut rates quarterly rather than every meeting from December to June. Danske Bank said the ECB would target sticky inflation, while Barclays argued that the ECB could opt for lower final interest rates through a period of more stable easing.