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消息人士:欧洲央行决策者经济观点存在分歧,鸽派仍是少数

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2024-09-02 05:56:41
消息人士称,欧洲央行决策者对经济增长前景的分歧加大,可能会影响未来数月的降息辩论。一些人担心经济衰退,而另一些人则关注挥之不去的通胀压力。随着欧元区经济进入更加不稳定的状态,未来的政策决策可能会更加复杂。争论的核心在于经济增长疲软和潜在的经济衰退将如何影响通胀——这是央行的最终关注点,它试图在2025年年底前将通胀率降至2%。政策鸽派仍是少数,他们认为经济比预期更弱,衰退风险正在上升,而此前囤积劳动力的公司开始削减职位空缺,导致就业市场疲软。一旦就业人数减少,可支配收入也会下降,从而迅速侵蚀消费,并导致自我强化的经济衰退。
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