Before the FOMC interest rate decision: A list of the probability of interest rate cuts at recent meetings

On August 1st, according to CME "Federal Reserve Watch": The probability that the Federal Reserve will maintain interest rates unchanged at this meeting is 97.9%, and the probability of reducing interest rates by 25 basis points is 2.1%. The probability that the Federal Reserve will maintain interest rates unchanged in September is 0%, the probability of reducing interest rates by 25 basis points is 89.6%, the probability of reducing interest rates by 50 basis points is 10.2%, and the probability of reducing interest rates by 75 basis points is 0.2%. The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged through November is 0%, the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 33.5%, the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 50 basis points is 59.9%, and the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 75 basis points is 6.5%. < br > < img src = "https://flash-scdn.jin10.com/flash_dli/jin_fanti/img/6b5feb6b-ce2e-b601-c9db-1722448042444.jpg" referrerpolicy = "no-referrer" >