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CFTC美指净多头仓位十连跌,已经跌至零轴下方,多头情绪遭到毁灭。美指也失守关键枢纽水平104,未能收复此处恐加大抛售力度。

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2025-03-31 04:20:42

CFTC美指净多头仓位连续十周下跌 空头情绪主导市场


最新CFTC持仓数据显示,美元指数净多头仓位已连续十周呈现下跌趋势,目前更跌破零轴进入净空头区域,反映出市场看涨情绪遭受重创。技术面显示,美元指数近期失守104关键枢纽位,若短期内无法有效收复该重要心理关口,可能引发更大幅度的技术性抛售。



深度解析:美元指数技术面与持仓数据的双重压力


从技术分析角度看,104关口不仅是前期重要支撑位,更是多空分水岭。当前美元指数日线级别已形成明显头部形态,MACD指标持续位于零轴下方运行。配合CFTC持仓数据的恶化,表明机构投资者正在加速撤离美元多头头寸。



对投资者的潜在影响分析:


1. 外汇交易者:需警惕美元指数可能出现的加速下跌行情,非美货币对或将迎来反弹机会


2. 美股投资者:美元走弱通常利好跨国公司财报,但需关注市场风险偏好的同步变化


3. 大宗商品投资者:以美元计价的大宗商品可能获得价格支撑,黄金等避险资产配置价值提升


4. 债券投资者:美元走弱可能影响外资对美国国债的需求,需关注收益率曲线变化



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