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摩根大通预计收益型稳定币的市场份额将从 6% 增长至 50%

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2025-03-27 13:56:03

摩根大通分析师预测:收益稳定币或颠覆传统市场格局,投资者需关注三大关键影响



摩根大通最新研究报告指出,代币化国债驱动的收益稳定币(Yield-bearing Stablecoins)可能成为下一阶段加密市场爆发的核心赛道。由董事总经理Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou领衔的分析团队强调,这类创新产品不仅提供与传统金融产品类似的利息回报,更可能在未来实现市场份额从6%到50%的指数级跃升——除非遭遇重大监管政策变动。



报告深度对比了新旧稳定币模式:传统稳定币(如USDT/USDC)因证券化风险主动放弃储备收益分配,以维持其作为加密生态系统"流动性润滑剂"的核心功能;而收益稳定币通过代币化国债等合规路径,正在开辟"DeFi+传统收益"的混合赛道



对投资者的潜在影响:

1. 收益重构:持有稳定币从零息资产转变为生息资产,可能改变加密市场现金流结构

2. 监管套利:代币化国债等合规载体或降低政策不确定性溢价

3. 生态迁移:若50%市场份额预测成真,将引发交易所、借贷协议等基础设施的连锁升级



分析师特别警示,证券认定问题仍是悬顶之剑——任何将稳定币归类为证券的监管动作,都可能瞬间改变当前竞争格局,这也是投资者必须持续跟踪的核心变量。

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