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观点:BTC 长期持有者仍在等待更高退出价位,需警惕“牛市陷阱”

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2025-03-26 10:39:56

加密货币市场预警:专家揭示当前投资环境三大风险信号



彭博社最新报道,知名加密货币交易自动化平台CoinPanel首席交易专家Kirill Kretov发布重磅市场分析,强调投资者在当前加密货币市场环境中需保持高度警惕



市场脆弱性加剧:Kretov指出,当前加密货币市场存在三大关键风险

1. 市场流动性持续萎缩,交易量跌至危险水平

2. 机构资金集体保持观望态度

3. 市场操纵风险显著上升



持仓结构暗藏危机:报告显示,比特币长期持有者(LTH)普遍采取"惜售"策略,这种看似稳健的行为实际上在累积市场抛压。Kretov警告,这种持仓结构将导致:

- 价格波动性异常放大

- 市场抗冲击能力持续减弱

- 清仓风险不断累积



牛市陷阱警示:专家特别强调,当前任何价格反弹都可能是危险信号。在流动性匮乏的环境下:

- 反弹持续性存疑

- 反转风险极高

- 极易形成"诱多"陷阱



投资者影响分析:

1. 短期投资者:面临更高概率的突发性亏损风险

2. 长期持有者:需警惕被迫抛售的临界点

3. 机构投资者:或将等待市场彻底出清后才会入场

4. 新入场者:需特别防范流动性陷阱

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