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机构:美国股指在美联储决议前走高,但近期走势仍可能低迷

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2025-03-19 17:33:25

美联储利率决议前瞻:市场预期按兵不动 华尔街股市走高


美联储即将公布最新利率决议,市场普遍预期将维持现有利率不变。在决议公布前,华尔街三大主要股指均呈现上涨态势。然而,投资者仍需密切关注政策制定者发布的最新经济预测,这些预测将揭示美联储对特朗普政府政策对经济增长、通胀和就业市场影响的评估。



市场预期与专家观点


根据市场交易商预测,美联储将在12月前至少进行两次降息,每次降息幅度为25个基点,首次降息预计将在7月实施。Wolfe Research首席投资策略师Chris Senyek表示:"我们预计未来几个月就业报告可能走弱,这将促使美联储在6月会议上采取降息措施。考虑到当前关税政策的高度不确定性,我们认为股市短期内仍将面临下行压力。"



贸易政策影响持续发酵


尽管市场对美联储利率决议持乐观态度,但投资者仍需警惕贸易政策对经济带来的不确定性影响。近期中美贸易谈判进展、关税政策调整等关键因素,都可能对市场产生重大影响。



对投资者的影响


1. 短期投资策略:建议投资者保持谨慎,关注美联储政策声明中的措辞变化

2. 资产配置:考虑增加防御性板块配置,降低风险敞口

3. 风险管理:密切关注就业数据和通胀指标,及时调整投资组合

4. 长期布局:把握市场波动带来的优质资产配置机会



投资者应密切关注美联储政策走向、经济数据表现以及贸易政策变化,及时调整投资策略,以应对可能的市场波动。

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