According to the CME "Fed Watch", the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in March is 94%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 6%. The probability of keeping current interest rates unchanged in May is 67.8%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point cut is 30.5%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point cut is 1.7%. (Jin Ten)
According to the CME "Fed Watch", the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in March is 97.5%, and the probability of a 25 basis point cut is 2.5%. The probability of maintaining current interest rates unchanged in May is 80.8%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point cut is 18.8%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point cut is 0.4%.
According to the CME "Fed Watch", the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in March is 97.5%, and the probability of a 25 basis point cut is 2.5%. The probability of maintaining current interest rates unchanged in May is 88.9%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point cut is 10.8%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point cut is 0.2%.
According to the CME "Fed Watch", the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in March is 97.5%, and the probability of a 25 basis point cut is 2.5%. The probability of maintaining current interest rates unchanged in May is 86.1%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point cut is 13.6%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point cut is 0.3%.
According to the CME "Fed Watch", the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in March is 97.5%, and the probability of a 25 basis point cut is 2.5%. The probability of maintaining current interest rates unchanged in May is 79.2%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point cut is 20.3%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point cut is 0.5%.
According to CME "Fed Watch": The probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged in March is 97%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 3%. The probability of keeping current interest rates unchanged in May is 81%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point cut is 18.5%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point cut is 0.5%. (Jin Ten)
According to the CME "Fed Watch", the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in March is 97.5%, and the probability of a 25 basis point cut is 2.5%. The probability of maintaining current interest rates unchanged in May is 86.8%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point cut is 12.9%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point cut is 0.3%.
After the CPI data was released, according to the CME "Federal Reserve Watch", the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in March was only 2.5%, and the probability of remaining unchanged was 97.5%. The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by a cumulative 50 basis points through May is 0.2%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point cut is 11.7%, and the probability of remaining unchanged is 88.1%.