News list for " Timiraos"

"Fed Messenger": The Federal Reserve enters the wait-and-see phase, satisfied with the interest rate stance

The Fed has hit the pause button on interest rate cuts, entering a new wait-and-see phase as it tries to decide whether to cut rates from their recent two-decade highs and by how much, according to Nick Timiraos. Wednesday's decision to keep rates on hold follows three consecutive rate cuts from September, when rates were about 5.3 per cent. Officials made only minor changes to their policy statement at the end of the two-day meeting, which indicated that inflation remained slightly above target...

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2025-01-30 07:38:29
“美联储传声筒”:美联储进入观望阶段 对利率立场感到满意

“美联储传声筒”NickTimiraos表示,美联储按下了降息暂停键,进入了一个新的观望阶段,它正试图决定是否将利率从最近的二十年高点下调以及下调多少。在周三决定维持利率不变之前,美联储已从9月开始连续三次降息,当时的利率约为5.3%。官员们在为期两天的会议结束时发表的政策声明只做了微小的改动。声明表明,在通胀率仍略高于目标、劳动力市场状...

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2025-01-30 07:38:29
"Fed Messenger": Tariffs become key factor in whether and when the Fed resumes rate cuts

As Mr. Trump considers using tariffs more boldly, a key question looms over the Fed: the extent to which any price increases will spur public interest in higher inflation, writes Nick Timiraos, the Fed's mouthpiece.

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2025-01-29 04:57:00
“美联储传声筒”:关税成为美联储是否以及何时恢复降息的关键因素

“美联储传声筒”Nick Timiraos撰文称,随着特朗普考虑在更大胆地使用关税,一个关键问题笼罩着美联储:任何价格上涨会在多大程度上刺激公众对更高通胀率...

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2025-01-29 04:57:00
"Fed Speaker": Forecasting PCE with CPI and PPI

"Fed Speaker" Nick Timiraos: With December CPI and PPI data, forecasters expect December core PCE to rise 0.17% (nearly 2% annualized), which will keep core PCE at 2.8% annualized and reduce the 6-month and 3-month annualized values to 2.3% and 2.2%, respectively. (Jin Ten)

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2025-01-16 07:28:14
“美联储传声筒”:用CPI和PPI预测PCE

“美联储传声筒”Nick Timiraos:有了12月份的CPI和PPI数据,预测人士预计12月核心PCE将上涨0.17%(折合成年率上涨近2%),这将使得核心PCE年率保持在2.8%,并将6个月和3个月年化值分别降至2.3%和2.2%。(金十)

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2025-01-16 07:28:14
Federal Reserve megaphone: meeting notes suggest officials are generally willing to stay put this month

Nick Timiraos, the Fed's megaphone, pointed to Fed meeting notes as further evidence that officials are broadly willing to keep rates on hold at their upcoming meeting at the end of the month. "Participants indicated that the committee is at or near the appropriate level to slow the pace of policy easing," the meeting notes said. Based on their current outlook for economic activity, officials believe the Fed is likely to continue cutting rates at a slower pace than in recent months.

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2025-01-09 04:55:10
美联储传声筒:会议纪要表明官员们普遍愿意在本月按兵不动

“美联储传声筒”Nick Timiraos指出,美联储会议纪要进一步表明,在本月底即将召开的会议上,官员们普遍愿意维持利率不变。会议纪要称:“与会者表示,委员会正处于或接近放慢政策宽松步伐的合适水平。”官员们认为,根据他们目前对经济活动的展望,美联储可能会继续以比最近几个月更慢的速度降息。

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2025-01-09 04:55:10
美联储传声筒:认为通胀风险偏向上行的官员人数大幅上升

“美联储传声筒”NickTimiraos表示,9月份,19名美联储官员中有3人认为,核心PCE通胀预测面临的风险偏向上行(如果预测错误,则可能过低)。而今天,有15或19名官员认为,已经被上调的核心PCE通胀的风险仍偏向上行。(金十)

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2024-12-19 08:46:38
美联储传声筒:美联储暗示降息步伐将放缓

“美联储传声筒”Nick Timiraos表示,美联储政策声明中增加了“幅度和时间”这一措辞,暗示将放缓降息步伐,以修改潜在的调整。

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2024-12-19 03:42:13
Nick Timiraos: The six-month moving average of US private sector job growth slowed to 108,000 in November, the lowest level in the cycle.

Nick Timiraos: The six-month moving average of US private sector job growth slowed to 108,000 in November, the lowest level in the cycle.

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2024-12-06 21:39:37
“美联储传声筒”Nick Timiraos:11月,美国私营部门就业增长的6个月移动平均值放缓至10.8万人,为该周期的最低水平。

“美联储传声筒”Nick Timiraos:11月,美国私营部门就业增长的6个月移动平均值放缓至10.8万人,为该周期的最低水平。

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2024-12-06 21:39:37
"Fed megaphone": US labour market is (largely) little changed

Nick Timiraos: Another week of US jobless claims data shows little change in the US labour market (by and large), despite typical volatility.

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2024-12-06 03:55:26
“美联储传声筒”:美国劳动力市场(大体上)几乎没有变化

“美联储传声筒”Nick Timiraos:美国又一周的失业救济申请数据显示,尽管出现了典型的波动,但美国劳动力市场(大体上)几乎没有变化。

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2024-12-06 03:55:26
Fed megaphone: Fed meeting notes suggest rate cuts will be cautious if inflation stagnates

Federal Reserve Speaker Nick Timiraos wrote that Fed members discussed the possibility of slowing or pausing interest rate cuts at their meeting earlier this month if progress on reducing inflation stalled. According to Fed meeting notes released on Tuesday, officials believe that if the economy performs in line with their expectations, inflation will continue to decline steadily...

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2024-11-27 04:54:36