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According to the CME "Fed Watch", the probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged in May is 73.4%, and the probability of a 25 basis point cut is 26.6%. The probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged in June is 13.9%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point cut is 64.6%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point cut is 21.5%.

U.S. 30-year Treasury futures continued their decline, falling 9 points during the day.

Former Fox reporter Eleanor Terrett posted on the X platform that according to two people familiar with the matter, US President Donald Trump is expected to sign a joint resolution passed by Congress in the near future to formally overturn the tax reporting requirements of the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) for decentralized financial (DeFi) platforms. The resolution was led by Senator Ted Cruz, who himself may attend the signing ceremony. The resolution seeks to exempt the DeFi protocol from co...

President Donald Trump said his tariffs could create "transition issues" but that the US was "in very good shape". "At the end of the day, it's going to be a good thing," Mr. Trump told a cabinet meeting on Thursday. He also noted that US stocks rose on Wednesday, 90 days after he announced a moratorium on "reciprocal tariffs". "Yesterday was a big day," he said. Mr. Trump also said that administration officials had been working with countries that had reached out to discuss deals.

According to Politico, people close to the White House said that US Treasury Secretary Vincent is now in charge of trade. At the same time...

Nova Labs, a blockchain infrastructure company, announced on Thursday that the Securities Exchange Commission (SEC) had dropped charges against it for "selling unregistered securities." The company's Helium Network emphasized in an official blog post that the ruling meant that the "sale and distribution of tokens to promote network growth" did not constitute a securities offering. The withdrawal marks a significant shift in the SEC's approach to regulation of the crypto industry. The SEC sued No...

Silk Road founder Ross Ulbricht said Thursday that he plans to make his first public appearance and give a speech at the Bitcoin conference in Las Vegas. Ross Ulbricht was previously sentenced to life in prison without the possibility of parole for founding and operating Silk Road, a dark web marketplace that specializes in the trafficking of drugs and other illegal products and services. The platform uses bitcoin for transactions and has fueled the popularity of cryptocurrencies. In January, US...

Mr. Dalio, the founder of Bridgewater, said investors had been left with a sense of trauma, shock or fear in the wake of this week's shock in global markets. "This has had a huge impact on the psychology and attitude of investors towards the reliability of the U.S.," he said in an interview. "It could have been handled better." In his view, the weakness of the dollar and the movement of the 30-year U.S. Treasury bond compared with the 10-year Treasury note deserve attention to see if investors s...

Collins: Tariffs could push core inflation "well above" 3 per cent this year.

At 2 am today, OpenAI open-sourced a test benchmark dedicated to the function of the agent browser - BrowseComp. This test benchmark is very difficult. Even OpenAI's own GPT-4o and GPT-4.5 have an accuracy rate of only 0.6% and 0.9% almost 0, and even using GPT-4o with browser function is only 1.9%. But OpenAI's latest agent model Deep Research has an accuracy rate of 51.5%, which is excellent in autonomous search, information integration, and accuracy calibration. (AIGC Open Community)

White House trade adviser Navarro: Today's market drop is not a big deal. India, Australia and the UK will all join the negotiations and a deal will be reached.

The Fed may still have room to cut interest rates this year, Mr. Collins said. Interest rate policy is in good shape and stable for now appears to be the best option. Tariffs push up US goods prices and could cause the Fed to delay rate cuts.