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Multicoin Capital发布Drift分析与估值报告

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2024-09-11 00:57:53
Multicoin Capital发布Drift分析与估值报告,内容摘要如下:
1.我们认为,最成功的衍生品 DEX 必须建立在 L1 上,而 L1 上也有在链上发行的其他资产。我们不认为应用链衍生品 DEX 会成功,因为它们的性能永远比不上集中式交易所(CEX),也无法与通用链上的其他程序和资产进行组合。它们无法从通用 L1 上存在的生态系统飞轮中获益。
2.Drift 拥有独特的交易所结构,可以提供三种类型的流动性:动态 AMM(DAMM)、分散式中央限价订单簿(DLOB)和准时制(JIT)。我们以前曾在这里写过关于衍生品 DEX 设计空间中的权衡的文章,我们相信 Drift 已经选择了一套合适的权衡方案。
3.Drift 的核心指标--衍生品、现货和掉期交易的总交易量--同比增长了约 50 倍,在此期间,该协议在衍生品 DEX 领域的市场份额增长了约 10 倍。
Drift 团队坚持不懈,不断推出新产品和新功能。除了衍生品 DEX 之外,他们还在建立一个资本效率高的 DeFi 平台,并将其扩展到合成交易之外。我们相信,Drift 可以成为 DeFi 的 “超级应用”,因为它有能力向用户交叉销售交易产品。
4.Solana的采用率增长极为迅速,我们看到所有Solana DeFi应用都呈长期增长趋势。Drift将不成比例地受益于生态系统的显著增长,因为我们相信它是Solana上构造最好的衍生品DEX。
5.Drift 团队有幸将 100% 的精力集中在产品上,而不是基础设施上。之所以能做到这一点,是因为 Solana 的扩展无需 Drift 团队的任何投入或思考。与模块化环境的复杂性和桥接相比,在 Solana 上,Drift 团队可以专注于集成、可组合堆栈中的产品。随着 Solana 网络的不断完善(例如,Firedancer 和 Agave 客户端的引入以及其他网络升级),Drift 所依托的开发者体验和基础层也会越来越好,而无需 Drift 团队或其他贡献者付出任何工程努力。
我们认为,随着用户和流动性不断向 Drift 和 Solana 迁移,Drift 协议将进一步发展壮大。此外,我们认为全世界发展中国家的人们都希望能够合成地获取每种资产,而 DeFi 衍生品对他们来说是最具创新性和包容性的产品。
根据我们在报告中概述的估值框架和市场假设,我们对 DRIFT 的基本估值为 3.58 美元
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