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华尔街押注鲍威尔确认将降息

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2024-08-18 23:57:32
华尔街押注美联储主席鲍威尔将在杰克逊霍尔年会上确认美联储即将降息。但随着焦点从“会不会降息”转为“降息幅度多大”,股票交易员可能会有所失望。“如果交易员听到即将降息,股市将会做出积极反应,”Steward Partners Global Advisory财富管理执行董事总经理Eric Beiley表示。“如果没有听到想要的信息,就会引发大规模抛售。”
市场充分预期美联储将在9月会议上开始降息。但鲍威尔周五发言时很容易对降息的时机守口如瓶。依照他的特质,也很可能会采取谨慎、含糊的方式来揭示美联储完成宽松后利率可能会下降多少。“市场对很快就会降息充满信心,”Beiley表示。如果鲍威尔不强调这就是未来的路径,将是一个巨大的意外。
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