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巴克莱:日元反弹后料重拾避险属性

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2024-08-08 15:43:05
巴克莱表示,日元最近大幅上涨表明该货币走势再次与收益率差同步,如果全球增长担忧导致股票下跌,日元会凭借避险资产地位得到提振。“日元快速升值的同时与收益率和股票价格的相关性也在恢复,”巴克莱日本外汇和利率策略主管Shinichiro Kadota表示,“日元最近的走势表明,在全球经济增长放缓的情况下,避险货币动态将再次出现。”巴克莱指出,从4月底到7月初,日元与美国和日本的收益率差脱钩,开始下行,与利差的收窄不同步,“但在利差迅速收窄和股票抛售的背景下,日元套利头寸平仓,美/日最终开始与收益率差同步快速下跌。”日元和瑞士法郎仍被视为“因担心根本经济衰退而出现股票大跌”时的避风港。
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