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2年期美债收益率数日内下跌50BP,市场大举押注美联储将启动救援模式

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2024-08-05 00:54:15
债券交易员纷纷押注美国经济正处于恶化的边缘,美联储将需要开始大举放松货币政策来避免经济衰退。之前对于高通胀的忧虑基本上已经消失,迅速让位于新的担心,即除非央行开始把利率从逾20年高点下调,否则经济就将失速。这正在推动债券市场出现自2023年3月爆发银行业危机担忧以来一次数一数二的涨势。涨势如此强劲,以至于对政策敏感的2年期美国国债收益率上周下跌50个基点,至不足3.9%。自全球金融危机和互联网泡沫破灭以来,这个收益率还没有比美联储基准利率(目前约为5.3%)低如此之多。
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