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“美联储传声筒”最新预测:美联储降息终于进入视野

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2024-07-28 12:47:12
“美联储传声筒”Nick Timiraos最新文章称,尽管美联储官员不太可能在下周降息,但通胀和劳动力市场的发展应该会让官员们发出在9月份会议上降息的信号。倾向于早点采取行动的鲍威尔一直在过早降息和等待太久的风险之间进行权衡,这一问题将在下周会议得到解决。官员们希望在跨过降息门槛之前,有更多证据表明通胀确实在降温。尽管如此,官员们越来越担心等待太久会导致软着陆泡沫化。美联储准备降息反映了三个因素:通胀利好、就业市场降温、对允许通胀维持在过高水平和造成不必要的经济疲软的双重风险的考量正在发生变化。
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