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金色午报 | 4月7日午间重要动态一览

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2025-04-07 04:03:27

7:00-12:00全球金融市场动态:日股期货、ETH/BTC汇率、关税政策深度解析



1. 日股期货触发熔断机制,亚洲市场震荡加剧

东京股市早盘突发剧烈波动,日经225指数期货触发熔断机制,引发投资者对亚太地区流动性风险的担忧。分析师指出,这可能是美联储鹰派政策外溢效应的直接体现。



2. 高盛重磅修正经济预测:衰退概率上调至35%

高盛最新报告将美国2023年GDP增速预期从1.5%下调至1.2%,同时将经济衰退概率上调5个百分点。该调整直接导致美股期货承压,十年期美债收益率跌破3.5%关键位。



3. 亚洲股市遭遇"黑色星期三",降息预期持续升温

摩根士丹利数据显示,MSCI亚洲指数单日跌幅达2.8%,创年内第三大跌幅。市场定价显示,交易员押注美联储9月降息概率已升至78%,较上周激增20个百分点。



4. ETH/BTC汇率跌破关键心理关口0.02

加密货币市场再现"大逃杀"行情,ETH/BTC汇率跌至0.0197,创2020年1月以来新低。链上数据显示,巨鲸地址正在持续抛售以太坊持仓,转向比特币避险。



5. 恐慌指数骤降至23,市场情绪进入"极度恐慌"区间

CNN恐惧与贪婪指数单日暴跌17点,所有分项指标均呈现恶化。值得注意的是,该指数已连续6个交易日处于"恐惧"区间,为2022年9月以来最长记录。



6. 特朗普关税政策冲击波:亚洲出口股遭血洗

据彭博统计,受特朗普最新关税政策影响,韩国KOSPI指数成分股中出口型企业平均跌幅达4.2%,日本汽车板块市值单日蒸发180亿美元。



7. Bill Ackman炮轰财长:债券多头立场引发道德争议

潘兴广场创始人公开质疑财政部长耶伦持有大量美债头寸,称其"对股市暴跌表现出反常的冷漠"。该言论引发市场对政策制定者资产配置透明度的新一轮讨论。



对投资者的影响分析:

- 需警惕跨市场风险传导,特别是股债汇三杀行情

- 加密货币市场显现强烈避险特征,BTC或成短期避风港

- 政策不确定性溢价持续走高,建议增配防御性资产

- 关注美联储政策转向信号,利率敏感型资产或迎反弹契机

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7x24 Newsflash

02:18 2025-04-28
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02:00 2025-04-28
Norges Bank, the Norwegian sovereign wealth fund that indirectly holds 3,821 BTC, lost $40 billion in the first quarter.
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Spot gold fell below $3,290 an ounce, down 0.90% in the day.
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BTC falls below $93,000
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Bitcoin's spot value is 40% lower than its energy value.
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Bitrue hackers sold $2.88 million HOT and SHIB yesterday and acquired 1511 ETH.
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