美股恐慌指数创 4.5 年新高，市场加大美联储降息押注
2025-04-04 11:44:07
华尔街恐慌指数VIX飙升至39！中美贸易战升级引发市场巨震
据Coindesk权威分析显示，在中美贸易紧张局势急剧升级后，被誉为华尔街"恐慌指数"的美股波动率指数(VIX)单日暴涨至39点，创下2020年10月以来的历史新高。这一剧烈波动直接反映了投资者对中美贸易战恶化的极度恐慌情绪。
市场剧烈震荡的导火索是中国宣布对美国商品加征报复性关税。受此影响，交易员们紧急调整了对美联储货币政策的预期。根据CME FedWatch工具最新数据，市场预计美联储年内降息幅度将从原先的100个基点大幅上调至116个基点，显示出投资者对经济前景的深度忧虑。
值得注意的是，加密货币市场同样受到强烈冲击。Deribit平台数据显示，比特币30天隐含波动率(DVOL)快速攀升至54.6%，创下近两周新高，表明数字资产投资者正在为更大的价格波动做准备。
【对投资者的影响】
1. 避险资产需求激增：恐慌情绪蔓延将推高黄金、美元等传统避险资产价格
2. 股市波动加剧：VIX指数飙升预示美股可能进入高波动周期
3. 加密货币对冲价值凸显：比特币波动率上升显示其作为另类资产的对冲特性
4. 美联储政策预期生变：降息预期强化将重塑大类资产配置逻辑
7x24 Newsflash
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However, analysts believe ...
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28.85 million USD bought 11,198 ETH at an average price of $2,577;
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This....
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US Senator Lummis: The Federal Reserve's withdrawal of crypto banking rules is just talk, and the fight is far from overAccording to Cointelegraph, US Senator Cynthia Lummis tweeted that the Federal Reserve's withdrawal of cryptocurrency guidance is just empty talk and not real progress. The Fed has killed companies in the industry and harmed American interests by stifling innovation and shutting down businesses. The fight is far from over. Cynthia Lummis pointed out that the Federal Reserve's policy statement on bitcoin and digital assets are considered "unsafe and unsound" has not been withdrawn. She also reite...
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