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德国通过历史性支出法案 国防与基建将获巨额资金支持

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2025-03-18 15:09:29

德国通过历史性国防与基建投资法案 或将重塑欧洲地缘政治格局


3月18日讯,德国联邦议院以压倒性多数通过了一项具有里程碑意义的财政支出方案,标志着该国正式告别长达数十年的预算紧缩政策。这项由保守派候任总理默茨主导的立法,以513票赞成、220票反对的投票结果,轻松跨过修宪所需的三分之二门槛。



该法案的核心内容包括:


1. 解除国防开支债务限制:为应对俄罗斯威胁,法案将大幅放宽国防预算的举债限制,为军事现代化提供可持续的资金支持。


2. 设立5000亿欧元专项基金:约合5460亿美元的基础设施投资基金,将用于升级德国老化的交通、能源和数字基础设施。


3. 开创性财政政策转向:此举标志着德国财政政策从"黑零"(schwarze Null)平衡预算向战略性投资的重大转变。



对投资者的影响:


1. 国防工业迎来重大机遇:军工、航空航天等相关行业将获得持续增长动力。


2. 基建板块投资价值凸显:建筑、工程、材料等行业将直接受益于大规模基建投资。


3. 欧元区债券市场波动加剧:德国扩大发债规模可能影响欧元区债券收益率走势。


4. ESG投资需重新评估:大规模军备支出可能引发ESG投资者的关注和调整。


5. 地缘政治风险溢价上升:德国军事扩张可能改变欧洲安全格局,影响市场风险偏好。

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