Macquarie: Trump's economic policies could trigger a U.S. stock market crash

In its latest client note, Macquarie Bank warns that Trump's economic policies risk triggering a stock market crash. Unless Trump pulls back from the trade war and cuts spending, which seems unlikely at the moment, real consumer spending in the U.S. could slow significantly. Since this is the most consistent signal of a bear market, we see a growing risk of a 20% decline in U.S. stocks from their Valentine's Day peak. The S & P 500, the benchmark U.S. stock index, is already down nearly 8% from its high last month, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq is down nearly 12% from its December peak. (Golden Ten)