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每日全球大宗商品市场要闻速递(3月17日)

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2025-03-17 06:31:50

能源行业动态:


1. 土耳其与伊拉克高层官员举行会谈,重点推进电力和天然气领域的战略合作,此举或将影响区域能源市场格局。


2. 高盛最新原油市场预测:将2025年12月布伦特原油价格预期下调5美元至71美元/桶(WTI原油67美元/桶),2026年布伦特原油均价预期调整为68美元/桶(WTI原油64美元/桶)。同时,2025年石油需求增长预期从110万桶/日下调至90万桶/日,反映全球能源需求放缓趋势。


3. 厄瓜多尔西北部发生重大石油泄漏事故,当地政府宣布进入环境紧急状态,事件可能影响该国石油出口及环境治理成本。


4. 海关总署澄清:"海关将对进口煤炭实施延迟检查"为不实信息,确保煤炭进口贸易正常进行。


5. 国家统计局数据显示:1-2月规模以上工业原煤、天然气产量增速提升,原油、电力生产保持稳定,显示能源供应基本面良好。


6. 第八次中英能源对话达成重要共识,双方将在电力市场改革、电网建设及电池储能技术等领域深化合作,推动能源转型。



贵金属与矿业要闻:


1. 瑞银上调黄金价格预期:鉴于地缘政治风险上升,将黄金目标价从3000美元/盎司上调至3200美元/盎司,凸显避险资产价值。


2. 印度尼西亚Timah公司计划2025年将锡矿石产量提升至21500吨,反映全球电子产业对锡资源的需求增长。


3. 特朗普关税政策重创泰国钢铁业,行业组织寻求政府援助,凸显贸易保护主义对产业链的冲击。



国际经贸与地缘政治:


1. 美国向欧洲多国寻求鸡蛋供应,反映全球供应链调整趋势。


2. 美国国务卿鲁比奥表示将在征收关税后与贸易伙伴展开双边谈判,显示美国贸易政策转向。


3. 特朗普宣布将与普京通话,寻求结束冲突,同时确认4月2日起实施对等关税与特定行业关税,钢铝关税无豁免,显示强硬贸易立场。


4. 美国官员表示将继续打击胡塞武装,但排除地面行动,空袭已击毙多名武装领导人。


5. 胡塞武装宣布升级对抗措施,将美国船只纳入红海航运禁令范围,地区局势持续紧张。



对投资者的影响分析:


1. 能源领域:原油价格预期下调可能影响能源股估值,但可再生能源合作项目带来新机遇。


2. 贵金属:黄金价格预期上调利好黄金相关投资,但需警惕市场波动风险。


3. 国际贸易:关税政策调整可能影响相关行业盈利能力,投资者需关注供应链重构机会。


4. 地缘政治:地区冲突升级可能加剧市场波动,建议投资者加强风险对冲。

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