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澳大利亚四大行一致预期澳洲联储今日将降息

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2025-02-18 02:16:09
澳大利亚四大银行均预测,澳洲联储今日将降息25个基点,但它们对该行降息后的举措看法不一。澳大利亚最大的两家银行澳洲联邦银行和西太平洋银行认为,到今年年底澳洲联储总共会有四次降息,这将使现金利率在12月之前降至3.35%。在四大银行中,澳大利亚国民银行是最后一个加入今天将降息这一共识的,但实际上对今年货币政策的放松程度更为乐观:该行经济学家预计2025年总共会降息五次。另一个预测极端是澳新银行,该机构预计全年只会有两次降息,到12月官方现金利率将降至3.85%。(金十)
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