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Analyst: Trump's "leaked" executive order on his first day in office has no shadow of tariffs

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2025-01-20 06:42:17
On January 20th, analysts at financial website Forexlive said that at this stage, any move to impose tariffs quickly will be seen by the market as a negative factor for the risk. Previously, multiple media reported that Trump will soon issue executive orders on immigration, energy and government recruitment policies. But in the reports about these leaks, there is no mention of tariffs. Based on the information currently available, it may be reasonable to conclude that "tariffs (related policies) will not be announced today". Of course, it is cautionary that we have all learned from Trump's first administration that the formulation of his government's policies can be unstable and unpredictable. Therefore, rather than drawing a conclusive conclusion, it is better to draw a tentative conclusion with probability. Due to political factors, there seems to be a 75% to 80% chance that tariffs will not be imposed on day one, which gives us some room for manoeuvre.