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美联储传声筒:预计美联储未来会将利率维持在略高于中性水平

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2024-11-08 10:03:05
11月8日消息,美联储“传声筒” 、华尔街日报记者Nick Timiraos就11月的美联储利率决议点评称:“美联储周四决定降息25个基点,但在继续降息的速度上释放出了更多的不确定性,美联储仍在努力防止过去两年半的大幅加息拖累经济。在类似的时间框架内,利率期货市场的投资者对美联储未来一年左右的降息幅度的预期不断降低。
据花旗银行称,他们现在认为美联储到2026年将把利率降至3.6%左右,而9月份时其估计的是降至2.8%。官员们正试图将利率拉回到一个更加正常的水平,即既不刺激经济增长,也不减缓经济增长,但他们并不知道什么是正常利率。因此他们可能会以未来几个月的经济表现为指导。这意味着他们会将利率维持在略高于正常或中性的水平。”
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